CONFLICTIQ
COUNTRY INSTABILITY INDEX

FRAGILITY & STRESS RANKINGS

A transparent 0–100 fragility score: forecast conflict risk (35%), active armed violence (30%), forced displacement (25%) and governance fragility (10%). Each input is cited and normalised; missing inputs are excluded and the weights renormalise — coverage is shown per country, never hidden.

scoring fragility...

Every country by instability (213)

Fragility score 0-100. Each country links to its dossier, where the drivers are broken out with sources.

  1. 1Ukraine95.6
  2. 2Sudan92.4
  3. 3DR Congo91.4
  4. 4Myanmar89.3
  5. 5Syria88.8
  6. 6Nigeria87.3
  7. 7Ethiopia87
  8. 8Russia86.7
  9. 9Yemen86.3
  10. 10Burkina Faso85.5
  11. 11Somalia85.4
  12. 12Mexico85.3
  13. 13Afghanistan83.6
  14. 14Mali82.3
  15. 15Lebanon82
  16. 16Haiti81
  17. 17Pakistan80.9
  18. 18Cameroon79.1
  19. 19Sri Lanka78.9
  20. 20Niger78.8
  21. 21Colombia78.2
  22. 22South Sudan77.5
  23. 23Iran76.3
  24. 24India75.9
  25. 25Israel75
  26. 26Western Sahara73.8
  27. 27Iraq67.8
  28. 28Palestine67.6
  29. 29Philippines67.3
  30. 30United Arab Emirates48.5
  31. 31Central African Republic47.6
  32. 32Venezuela45.7
  33. 33Mozambique43.8
  34. 34Azerbaijan43.2
  35. 35Chad43.2
  36. 36Eritrea42.6
  37. 37Cambodia42.1
  38. 38Nicaragua41.7
  39. 39Bangladesh40.8
  40. 40Cuba40.2
  41. 41El Salvador40.2
  42. 42Ecuador39.7
  43. 43Burundi38.4
  44. 44China38.4
  45. 45Guinea38
  46. 46French Guiana37
  47. 47Türkiye37
  48. 48Rwanda36.1
  49. 49Serbia36.1
  50. 50Papua New Guinea35.4
  51. 51Hong Kong35.3
  52. 52Togo35
  53. 53Belarus34.9
  54. 54Brazil34.4
  55. 55Georgia34.4
  56. 56Uzbekistan34.1
  57. 57Egypt34
  58. 58Tajikistan33.9
  59. 59Congo Republic33.6
  60. 60Vatican33.3
  61. 61Bosnia and Herzegovina33.2
  62. 62Uganda33.2
  63. 63Vietnam32.8
  64. 64Côte d'Ivoire32.5
  65. 65Zimbabwe32.4
  66. 66Guatemala32.1
  67. 67Kenya31.5
  68. 68Kazakhstan31.4
  69. 69Peru31.4
  70. 70Turkmenistan31.3
  71. 71Indonesia31.2
  72. 72Angola30.8
  73. 73Armenia30.3
  74. 74Benin30.1
  75. 75Bolivia29.7
  76. 76Honduras29.7
  77. 77Mauritania29.7
  78. 78Kyrgyzstan29.6
  79. 79Guinea-Bissau29.4
  80. 80Comoros29.1
  81. 81Liberia29
  82. 82Bermuda28.6
  83. 83Laos28.6
  84. 84Libya28.4
  85. 85Albania28.2
  86. 86Equatorial Guinea28.1
  87. 87Senegal28.1
  88. 88Djibouti28
  89. 89Dominican Republic28
  90. 90Sierra Leone27.9
  91. 91Madagascar27.2
  92. 92Nepal26.7
  93. 93Algeria26.6
  94. 94North Macedonia26.6
  95. 95Tunisia26.6
  96. 96Mongolia26.4
  97. 97Morocco26.3
  98. 98North Korea26.3
  99. 99Ghana26.1
  100. 100Thailand26.1
  101. 101Guadeloupe25.9
  102. 102Saudi Arabia25.9
  103. 103Paraguay25.8
  104. 104Andorra25.3
  105. 105Eswatini25.3
  106. 106Kiribati24.8
  107. 107Argentina24.7
  108. 108Romania24.7
  109. 109Gabon24.1
  110. 110Croatia24.1
  111. 111Malaysia23.9
  112. 112Bahrain23.8
  113. 113Gambia23.7
  114. 114Kuwait23.2
  115. 115Chile23.1
  116. 116Hungary23.1
  117. 117Malawi23.1
  118. 118Moldova22.8
  119. 119Guyana22.7
  120. 120South Africa22.4
  121. 121Jamaica22.3
  122. 122Panama22.1
  123. 123Bhutan21.3
  124. 124Macau21
  125. 125Bulgaria20.9
  126. 126Jordan20.8
  127. 127Fiji20.6
  128. 128United States20.5
  129. 129Timor-Leste20
  130. 130Bahamas19.8
  131. 131Zambia19.8
  132. 132Solomon Islands19.2
  133. 133Tanzania18.7
  134. 134Belize18.6
  135. 135Turks and Caicos Islands18.6
  136. 136Tonga18.4
  137. 137Montenegro18.3
  138. 138Slovakia18.2
  139. 139Botswana18
  140. 140Poland18
  141. 141Namibia17.8
  142. 142Costa Rica17.7
  143. 143Vanuatu17.6
  144. 144Mauritius17.3
  145. 145Trinidad and Tobago17.2
  146. 146Dominica16.8
  147. 147Oman16.8
  148. 148Barbados16.7
  149. 149Italy16.6
  150. 150Qatar16.2
  151. 151Samoa15.9
  152. 152Czechia15.7
  153. 153United Kingdom15.7
  154. 154Spain15.6
  155. 155South Korea15.6
  156. 156St. Lucia15.5
  157. 157Niue15.2
  158. 158Portugal15.1
  159. 159Uruguay15
  160. 160St. Vincent and the Grenadines14.7
  161. 161Liechtenstein14.6
  162. 162France14.5
  163. 163Greece14.5
  164. 164Suriname14.5
  165. 165Canada14.4
  166. 166Germany14.4
  167. 167Martinique14.1
  168. 168Curaçao13.4
  169. 169Grenada13.4
  170. 170Ireland13.3
  171. 171Brunei Darussalam13.2
  172. 172Netherlands13.2
  173. 173Lesotho13
  174. 174Maldives13
  175. 175Cabo Verde12.8
  176. 176Sweden12.8
  177. 177Latvia12.7
  178. 178British Virgin Islands12.7
  179. 179Antigua and Barbuda12.5
  180. 180Lithuania12.5
  181. 181Singapore12.5
  182. 182Belgium11.9
  183. 183Slovenia11.8
  184. 184St. Kitts and Nevis11.7
  185. 185Japan11.5
  186. 186Estonia11
  187. 187Sao Tome and Principe11
  188. 188Aruba10.9
  189. 189Anguilla10.9
  190. 190Cook Islands10.9
  191. 191Cayman Islands10.9
  192. 192Monaco10.9
  193. 193New Caledonia10.9
  194. 194Puerto Rico10.9
  195. 195French Polynesia10.9
  196. 196New Zealand10.2
  197. 197Malta9.7
  198. 198Australia9.5
  199. 199Austria9.5
  200. 200Denmark9.4
  201. 201Norway8.9
  202. 202Cyprus8.8
  203. 203Nauru8.5
  204. 204Switzerland8.1
  205. 205Seychelles7.9
  206. 206Marshall Islands7.2
  207. 207Finland6.9
  208. 208Luxembourg6.9
  209. 209Tuvalu6.1
  210. 210Micronesia, Fed. Sts.4.6
  211. 211Palau4.6
  212. 212Iceland4.2
  213. 213Taiwan1.8