America / CRI

Costa Rica

Costa Rica ranks #122 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.4/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 17.7/100 (#142 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Costa Rica: Strong Governance Scores, No Recorded Military Spending

Costa Rica's gross domestic product reached $95.4 billion in 2024, per World Bank World Development Indicators (WDI), with per-capita output of $18,587.15 across a population of roughly 5.1 million the same year. Government debt is projected at 61.1% of GDP in 2026, per IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) data, and foreign exchange reserves stood at $17.09 billion in 2025, per IMF International Financial Statistics (IFS).

SIPRI's Military Expenditure Database lists Costa Rica's 2025 military spending and milex/GDP share both at zero. The Correlates of War National Material Capabilities (COW NMC) dataset likewise counts zero active personnel as of 2022, while still assigning Costa Rica a Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) score of 0.00026933773 for that year.

V-Dem's 2025 data describe strong formal democratic institutions: an electoral democracy index of 0.862, a liberal democracy index of 0.809, and a state capacity score of 0.935 — the highest of the three governance measures recorded for Costa Rica in this dataset.

Even with zero recorded military spending, Costa Rica's CINC score of 0.00026933773 reflects COW NMC's composite of population and industrial indicators alongside the zero-valued military components, folded into a single measure of relative material capability.

Energy figures from Our World in Data show primary energy use of 0.1655 exajoules in 2023 and electricity generation of 12.81 terawatt-hours in 2025, the latter the most recent electricity reading in this bundle.

Data gaps

Both oil and gas production are listed at zero for 2016 in Our World in Data's series, a reading now roughly a decade old. The zero figures for military expenditure and personnel are reported here exactly as they appear in SIPRI and COW NMC data; this briefing does not assert a cause for them beyond what the source datasets record. The 61.1% debt-to-GDP figure is an IMF projection for 2026 rather than a confirmed outturn.

Sources: World Bank World Development Indicators; IMF World Economic Outlook; IMF International Financial Statistics; SIPRI Military Expenditure Database; Correlates of War National Material Capabilities; V-Dem v15; Our World in Data (Energy).

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
47/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
7/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (34)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (18)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
17
Ports
4
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
4
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2019): 1 transfers

Displacement (UNHCR): 367 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 36.4K hosted

Compare Costa Rica with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.