Africa / DZA

Algeria

Algeria ranks #33 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (3.2/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 26.6/100 (#93 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Algeria: Military Spending at 8.8 Percent of GDP

Algeria's GDP stood at $269.3 billion in 2024, with per capita output of $5,753 across a population of 46.8 million, per the World Bank's WDI figures for that year.

Fiscal and External Position

The IMF's WEO projects government debt at 59.2 percent of GDP in 2026 — a forward estimate rather than a recorded figure. Reserves were $83.0 billion as of 2024, per World Bank WDI data, a substantial buffer relative to GDP.

Military Posture

SIPRI's 2025 figures put military expenditure at $25.4 billion, or 8.831 percent of GDP — a large share of economic output by any standard. That ratio is calculated against SIPRI's own GDP series, not the WDI figure above, and the two should not be mixed. Active personnel totaled 139,000 as of 2022, per COW NMC, with a CINC score of 0.0051 in the same release. Both figures are three years old relative to the rest of this profile and predate the 2025 spending figure.

Governance

V-Dem's 2025 data gives Algeria an electoral democracy index of 0.265, a liberal democracy index of 0.126, and a state capacity score of 0.25 — low readings across all three measures under V-Dem's v15 methodology.

Energy

Algeria's energy profile reflects its position as a hydrocarbon producer: primary energy consumption was 2.7365 exajoules and electricity generation 96.36 TWh, both reported for 2024 by Our World in Data. Oil production reached 689.273 TWh and gas production 947.196 TWh, both for 2024 — current figures, consistent with gas exports as a structural feature of the economy.

Reading the Figures Together

Algeria's reserves of $83.0 billion (2024, World Bank WDI) exceed its 2025 military budget of $25.4 billion (SIPRI) by more than three to one, though the two figures are drawn from different sources and years. The 8.831 percent of GDP that SIPRI's 2025 figures attribute to military spending is a notably high share on its own terms, well above a single-digit-percent norm typically seen in general government budgeting.

What the Data Does Not Show

No figures are supplied on arms imports, regional security commitments, or the composition of the 8.831 percent GDP share devoted to the military — whether driven by personnel costs, procurement, or border operations is not stated in this file. Personnel and CINC data are from 2022, three years before the spending figures they might otherwise be read alongside.

Sources: World Bank WDI, IMF WEO, SIPRI Milex, COW NMC, V-Dem v15, Our World in Data (Energy)

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
61/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
75/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Active armed violence
13/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (19)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (11)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
39
Ports
17
Satellites
8
Subsea cables
6
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 6 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

29% of imports from China — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 9.2K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 180.6K hosted

Compare Algeria with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.