Asia / OMN

Oman

Oman ranks #77 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.9/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 16.8/100 (#147 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Oman: Country Intelligence Briefing

Oman presents as a hydrocarbon-producing Gulf economy with a relatively high defense-spending ratio and a governance profile V-Dem v15 scores as low on electoral and liberal democracy but comparatively high on state capacity. The fiscal position on file shows moderate government debt set against sizable reserves, while the energy figures point to a substantial domestic oil and gas sector.

Economy and Fiscal Position

GDP was $107.1 billion in 2024, with GDP per capita of $20,285.23, both per World Bank WDI. Population was 5,281,538 in 2024, per World Bank WDI. Government debt stood at 32.7 percent of GDP in 2026, per IMF WEO, and reserves were $18.3 billion in 2024, per World Bank WDI.

Defense Posture

Military expenditure reached $5.99 billion in 2025, per SIPRI Milex, equivalent to 5.682 percent of GDP under SIPRI's own GDP series for 2025 — a figure that should not be read against the separately sourced World Bank GDP number above. Active personnel stood at 43,000 in 2022, per COW NMC, with a Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) score of 0.0017310641 the same year, also per COW NMC.

Governance

V-Dem v15 scores Oman's electoral democracy at 0.175 and liberal democracy at 0.14 for 2025, alongside a notably higher state capacity score of 0.613 the same year.

Energy

Oman's energy figures are current and substantial. Primary energy consumption was 1.6087 exajoules in 2024, and electricity generation was 52.84 terawatt-hours in 2025, both per Our World in Data (Energy). Oil production was 557.484 terawatt-hours and gas production was 453.207 terawatt-hours, both for 2024, per Our World in Data (Energy), underscoring the country's role as a hydrocarbon producer.

Data Gaps

The active-personnel and CINC figures are from 2022, three years old relative to this briefing. The milex-to-GDP ratio of 5.682 percent uses SIPRI's own GDP denominator for 2025 and should not be recalculated against the World Bank's GDP figure, which is sourced separately and dated 2024. No other series in this bundle show obvious staleness; the energy, debt, and reserves figures are all dated 2024 or 2025.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; SIPRI Milex; COW NMC; V-Dem v15; Our World in Data (Energy).

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
32/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
39/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (19)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (12)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
9
Ports
4
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
20
News items
3

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

25% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Arms clients (transfers)

Displacement (UNHCR): 133 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 289 hosted

Compare Oman with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.