Oceania / MHL

Marshall Islands

Marshall Islands ranks #206 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.1/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 7.2/100 (#206 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Marshall Islands: Country Intelligence Brief

The Marshall Islands recorded GDP of $290.11 million in 2024, according to World Bank WDI figures, with GDP per capita at $7,726.34 the same year against a population of 37,548. The IMF World Economic Outlook puts government debt at 16.7% of GDP in 2026.

The Correlates of War National Material Capabilities dataset recorded zero active-duty personnel in 2022 and assigned the Marshall Islands a Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) score of 9.0745078e-07 for the same year.

Data gaps

This bundle is thin. No foreign-reserves, SIPRI military-expenditure, V-Dem governance, or energy figures are present for the Marshall Islands. The COW personnel figure of zero for 2022 is reported as supplied; whether that reflects an actual absence of a standing force or a data gap in the underlying COW dataset cannot be determined from this bundle. No further analysis is supportable without additional data.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF World Economic Outlook; Correlates of War National Material Capabilities.

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
17/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Capability and economy · click a metric to compare

CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.

Capability profile

Trajectory

GDP (USD)

Strategic Relationships

Allies (0)

No alliance data loaded.

Neighbours (1)

Disputes (0)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

No militarized disputes recorded (COW MID).

Signals

Airports
2
Ports
3
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
2
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Displacement (UNHCR): 0 refugees originated · 0 IDPs ·

Compare Marshall Islands with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.