Africa / CIV

Côte d'Ivoire

Côte d'Ivoire ranks #108 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.5/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 32.5/100 (#64 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Cote d'Ivoire: Low Defense Burden, Mixed Governance Scores

Cote d'Ivoire's economy was valued at $87.11 billion in 2024, with per-capita output of $2,727.89, on a population of 31,934,230, per World Bank WDI figures. Government debt is projected at 55.1% of GDP in 2026, per IMF WEO, a forward-looking projection rather than a confirmed outturn. No foreign reserves figure is available in this bundle, which limits assessment of the country's external liquidity position alongside the GDP and debt figures above.

Defense Posture

SIPRI Milex data put military spending at $759.44 million in 2025, equivalent to 0.775% of GDP by SIPRI's own GDP series for that year — a comparatively low share within this bundle's set of figures. Active personnel numbered 27,000 in 2022, per COW NMC, with a composite index of national capability (CINC) of 0.0015893064 for the same year, also per COW NMC.

Governance

V-Dem v15's 2025 scores show an electoral democracy index of 0.394, a liberal democracy index of 0.228, and a state capacity score of 0.395 — figures indicating a system with partial electoral competitiveness but considerably weaker liberal constraints, per V-Dem's framework. All three figures are drawn from the same V-Dem v15 release and reference year, 2025, forming a single coherent governance snapshot.

Energy

Cote d'Ivoire's primary energy consumption was 0.2791 exajoules in 2023, per Our World in Data's energy series, with electricity generation of 10.79 terawatt-hours in 2024 from the same source. Oil production is recorded at 31.034 terawatt-hours and gas production at 23.953 terawatt-hours, but both figures date to 2016, per Our World in Data.

Data Gaps

No foreign reserves figure is present in this bundle for Cote d'Ivoire, limiting assessment of its external buffer position. The oil and gas production figures are a decade old; this bundle contains no more recent production series, so current hydrocarbon output cannot be assessed from these figures alone. The 0.775% milex/GDP figure is tied to SIPRI's own GDP series for 2025 and should not be checked against the World Bank's $87.11 billion GDP figure for 2024, a different year and series.

Sources: World Bank WDI, IMF WEO, SIPRI Milex, COW NMC, V-Dem v15, Our World in Data (Energy).

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
67/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
61/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (22)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (12)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
7
Ports
0
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
6
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

23% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 32.5K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 74.6K hosted

Compare Côte d'Ivoire with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.