Asia / BTN

Bhutan

Bhutan ranks #174 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.1/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 21.3/100 (#123 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Bhutan: High Debt Load Alongside a Strong State-Capacity Score

Bhutan's economy produced gross domestic product of $3,012,896,789.25 in 2023, per World Bank WDI, with a population of 791,524 in 2024. That combination yields a GDP per capita of $3,831.33 for 2023, per World Bank WDI. The IMF's World Economic Outlook projects government debt at 120.3% of GDP for 2026, a figure that exceeds Bhutan's own annual GDP as recorded above, while World Bank WDI records foreign exchange reserves of $941,017,689.21 for 2024. The scale of the debt projection relative to the reserves and GDP figures above marks Bhutan's public finances as highly leveraged.

Governance

V-Dem's v15 dataset scores Bhutan's electoral democracy at 0.566 and liberal democracy at 0.457 for 2025, both markedly lower than the state-capacity score below. The same dataset assigns a state-capacity score of 0.871 for 2025, a wide spread between the democracy measures and the administrative-capacity measure that V-Dem captures separately.

Military capacity

The Correlates of War National Material Capabilities dataset records 6,000 active military personnel for Bhutan, a figure carried from 2000 and considerably older than most other series in this bundle. The same dataset's Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) score for Bhutan is 5.8282079e-05, dated 2022. Because the personnel figure and the CINC score come from different years of the same dataset, this briefing treats them as two separate data points rather than a single current snapshot of Bhutan's military establishment.

Energy

Our World in Data's Energy dataset records primary energy consumption of 0.0532 exajoules for 2023 and electricity generation of 11.0 terawatt-hours for 2024. The electricity figure is large relative to Bhutan's own primary energy consumption figure above, consistent with a generation base oriented toward electricity output, though this bundle contains no series breaking generation down by source. Oil and gas production are both recorded at zero for 2016.

Data gaps

  • The active-personnel figure is dated 2000, the oldest series in this bundle, while the CINC score from the same dataset is dated 2022; the two should not be assumed to describe the same period.
  • No SIPRI military expenditure figures are present.
  • Oil and gas production data date to 2016.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; V-Dem v15; Correlates of War National Material Capabilities; Our World in Data (Energy)

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
54/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
13/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Capability profile

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (0)

No alliance data loaded.

Neighbours (2)

Disputes (1)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
2
Ports
0
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
0
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2021): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

100% of imports from Thailand — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 7.3K refugees originated · 0 IDPs ·

Compare Bhutan with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.