Africa / MRT

Mauritania

Mauritania ranks #145 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.3/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 29.7/100 (#77 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Mauritania

Mauritania's GDP reached $10.91 billion in 2024, per World Bank WDI, with GDP per capita of $2,110.12 across a population of 5,169,395 the same year. The IMF WEO projects government debt at 37.1% of GDP for 2026. Reserves were reported at $2.04 billion, but that figure is dated 2021 (World Bank WDI) — several years older than the other fiscal and economic data in this bundle.

Military and power indicators

SIPRI's 2025 data record Mauritanian military expenditure at $321.76 million, or 2.748% of GDP on SIPRI's own GDP accounting — a ratio tied to SIPRI's internal GDP series, not the World Bank GDP figure cited above, and the two should not be cross-divided. COW NMC lists 16,000 active personnel in 2022 and a CINC score of 0.00034184183 for that year.

Governance

V-Dem v15's 2025 scores place Mauritania's electoral democracy index at 0.328 and liberal democracy index at 0.127, with a state capacity score of 0.117 — the state-capacity figure is particularly low on V-Dem's 0-to-1 scale among this country's own measures.

Energy

Primary energy consumption was 0.0749 exajoules in 2023, and electricity generation reached 2.07 terawatt-hours in 2024, both per Our World in Data. Oil production is listed at 3.04 terawatt-hours, but that figure is dated 2016. Gas production is listed at zero terawatt-hours, also dated 2016.

Taken together, these figures describe a government with moderate projected debt (37.1% of GDP, IMF WEO, 2026) and defense spending at 2.748% of GDP on SIPRI's own accounting (SIPRI Milex, 2025), against governance scores — 0.328 electoral democracy, 0.127 liberal democracy, 0.117 state capacity, all V-Dem v15, 2025 — concentrated at the low end of V-Dem's 0-to-1 scales, state capacity especially so.

Data gaps

Both the reserves figure (2021) and the oil- and gas-production figures (2016) are stale relative to the 2023-2026 dates on the GDP, debt, and military-expenditure figures elsewhere in this bundle, and should not be treated as current statements of Mauritania's reserve position or hydrocarbon output. No trade-balance or inflation series accompany this bundle. As elsewhere, Mauritania's 2.748% milex/GDP share reflects SIPRI's own GDP accounting and should not be checked against the World Bank's $10.91 billion GDP topline cited above.

Sources: World Bank WDI, IMF WEO, SIPRI Milex, Correlates of War National Material Capabilities, V-Dem v15, Our World in Data (Energy).

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
68/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
88/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Active armed violence
13/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (41)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (7)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
4
Ports
2
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
2
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 5 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

71% of imports from China — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 43.9K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 301.5K hosted

Compare Mauritania with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.