Syria ranks #50 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (1.9/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 88.8/100 (#5 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.
Most of the quantitative data available on Syria in this dataset are old, in several cases by more than a decade, and should be read as describing a prior period rather than current conditions. This briefing states the gaps directly and draws no inference the figures do not support.
The World Bank's WDI figures put Syria's GDP at $23.6 billion and GDP per capita at $1,052, both dated 2022. Population is more recent, at 24,672,760 for 2024, also World Bank WDI.
The IMF's WEO figures show government debt at 30.0% of GDP, dated 2010 — 16 years before this briefing and before the civil conflict that began in 2011. The World Bank's WDI data list reserves at $20.6 billion, also dated 2010. Neither figure reflects any period since.
SIPRI's figures show Syrian military expenditure at $2.49 billion for 2011, with a milex-to-GDP ratio of 4.056% dated 2010 under SIPRI's own GDP series — a ratio drawn from a different year than the expenditure figure itself, and from SIPRI's own GDP series rather than the World Bank GDP figure above; the two series should not be mixed. The COW NMC dataset lists 169,000 active personnel in 2022 and a CINC score of 0.0029 for the same year, the only military-adjacent figures here close to the present.
V-Dem's 2025 (v15) scores are current: electoral democracy at 0.128, liberal democracy at 0.054, and state capacity at 0.282 — each toward the low end of V-Dem's global range.
Per Our World in Data, primary energy consumption was 0.338 exajoules in 2023 and electricity generation was 24.88 terawatt-hours in 2024. Oil production was 19.28 TWh and gas production 27.23 TWh, both for 2024 — the most recent figures in this file, though they describe output levels only, not broader economic conditions.
Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; SIPRI Milex; COW NMC; V-Dem v15; Our World in Data (Energy).
Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 100% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers
50% of imports from Türkiye — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 4.9M refugees originated · 5.5M IDPs · 9.9K hosted