Europe / VAT

Vatican

Vatican ranks #75 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.9/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 33.3/100 (#60 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Holy See / Vatican City: Data Availability Note

The fact bundle available for this entry contains no current data. Every figure on file describes the Papal States, the polity that preceded the modern Vatican City State, not the Holy See as it exists today, and the entry carries no gross domestic product, population, reserves, government-debt, or energy series of any kind.

What is on record

Two capability figures appear, both attributed to the Correlates of War National Material Capabilities dataset (COW NMC) and dated 1860: active personnel of 19,000 and a Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) score of 0.0045924117. These describe the Papal States, the pre-unification Italian polity that preceded the present Vatican City State, not the Holy See as it exists today.

Three governance indicators appear from V-Dem v15, each dated 1870: an electoral democracy score of 0.026, a liberal democracy score of 0.027, and a state capacity score of 0.276. These likewise describe the Papal States in the period immediately following their dissolution and loss of territory, not the contemporary Vatican.

Data gaps

This entry should be read as a case study in historical-data limitations rather than a current assessment. There is no economic data (GDP, GDP per capita, reserves, debt), no energy data, and no military-expenditure series on file. The only two data categories present are both roughly a century and a half old and describe a predecessor state rather than the present one. No claim about the Holy See's current capacity, governance, or economy can be supported from this bundle.

Sources: COW NMC; V-Dem v15.

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Governance fragility
72/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forced displacement
18/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR

Capability and economy · click a metric to compare

CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.

Capability profile

Insufficient factors.

Governance

Strategic Relationships

Allies (0)

No alliance data loaded.

Neighbours (3)

Disputes (6)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
0
Ports
0
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
0
News items
0

Displacement (UNHCR): 0 refugees originated · 0 IDPs ·

Compare Vatican with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.