Guinea

Guinea: Weak Governance Indicators Alongside an Active Defense Establishment

Guinea's GDP stood at $25.01 billion in 2024, with GDP per capita of $1,695 and a population of 14,754,785, per World Bank WDI data. V-Dem's 2025 wave records an electoral democracy score of 0.187, a liberal democracy score of 0.095, and a state capacity score of 0.106 — all toward the low end of V-Dem's 0-1 scale.

SIPRI's 2025 Milex data put military expenditure at $600.5 million, equivalent to 2.028 percent of GDP under SIPRI's own GDP series; that ratio is sourced directly from SIPRI and should not be recomputed against the World Bank GDP figure above. The Correlates of War National Material Capabilities dataset recorded 10,000 active-duty personnel in 2022 and a CINC score of 0.00066876994 for the same year.

On fiscal position, the IMF's World Economic Outlook projects government debt at 44.7 percent of GDP for 2026. Reserves of $1.35 billion for 2024 are sourced to World Bank WDI rather than IMF IFS in this bundle, a departure from the IMF sourcing used for reserves in some other country files and worth flagging when comparing reserve figures across sources.

The Correlates of War CINC score, a fractional share of global material capability built from population, military personnel, and industrial inputs across the full international system, should be read alongside the 10,000-person active-duty figure above rather than as a standalone strength ranking.

Energy

Our World in Data figures put primary energy consumption at 0.0796 exajoules in 2023 and electricity generation at 4.03 terawatt-hours in 2024. Both oil and gas production are recorded at 0.0 terawatt-hours, dated 2016.

Data Gaps

The oil and gas production figures are a decade old, dated 2016, and cannot be read as current. The reserves figure is sourced to World Bank WDI rather than the IMF series used elsewhere in this dataset, which may affect comparability over time even within this single country's own record. The 2026 government debt figure is an IMF projection, not an outturn. No conflict-event or alliance data are present in this bundle.

Sources: World Bank WDI, IMF WEO, SIPRI Milex, Correlates of War NMC, V-Dem v15, Our World in Data (Energy).