Europe / GBR

United Kingdom

United Kingdom ranks #10 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (9.6/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 15.7/100 (#153 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

United Kingdom: Economic Weight, Elevated Debt, Steady Nuclear Deterrent

The United Kingdom's economy totaled $3.69 trillion in 2024, per the World Bank's WDI figures, with GDP per capita of $53,246 and a population of 69.23 million the same year — a per-capita income level that places the UK among the wealthier states reviewed in this briefing series. Government debt is projected at 103.6 percent of GDP in 2026, per the IMF's World Economic Outlook, a level that leaves limited fiscal headroom relative to lower-debt peers and exceeds the size of the UK's annual economic output. Reserves stood at $225.56 billion in 2025, per the IMF's International Financial Statistics.

Military Capacity

Military spending reached $88.98 billion in 2025, equivalent to 2.353 percent of GDP, per SIPRI's 2025 figures. SIPRI calculates that ratio against its own GDP series, which is not the same denominator as the World Bank's $3.69 trillion figure cited above, and the two should not be cross-divided. Active personnel numbered 150,000 as of 2022, per the Correlates of War National Material Capabilities (COW NMC) dataset, which also puts the UK's composite index of national capability (CINC) at 0.0125 for that year — a figure that reflects a professionalized but comparatively small force relative to the UK's economic weight. The UK held 225 nuclear warheads as of 2025, per the FAS Nuclear Notebook, a holding that remains part of the country's strategic posture independent of its conventional personnel numbers.

Governance

V-Dem's 2025 figures (v15) put the UK's electoral democracy index at 0.772 and liberal democracy index at 0.689, with a state-capacity score of 0.955 — the strongest of the three governance metrics, indicating substantial administrative and enforcement capacity even as the democracy indices sit below the top tier of established democracies. The gap between the electoral and liberal democracy scores, both from the same V-Dem v15 release, points to stronger performance on electoral mechanics than on the broader liberal-constraints measures V-Dem tracks separately.

Energy

The UK consumed 6.97 exajoules of primary energy in 2024 and generated 292.31 terawatt-hours of electricity in 2025, per Our World in Data's energy series. Oil production stood at 353.5 TWh and gas production at 307.2 TWh, both for 2024 — combined hydrocarbon output that exceeds the UK's own electricity generation figure, though the two numbers measure different things and the data does not specify how much of that oil and gas output is burned domestically for power versus exported or used for non-electric purposes. No trend data was supplied to indicate whether these levels are rising or falling.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; IMF IFS; SIPRI Milex; COW NMC; FAS Nuclear Notebook; V-Dem v15; Our World in Data (Energy)

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
42/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
5/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (42)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (275)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
88
Ports
184
Satellites
726
Subsea cables
65
News items
46

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 9 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

46% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 517 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 581.1K hosted

Compare United Kingdom with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.