Oceania / TUV

Tuvalu

Tuvalu ranks #236 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.0/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 6.1/100 (#209 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Tuvalu: Country Brief

Tuvalu is a small Pacific island state for which the available dataset carries only a narrow set of economic and capability indicators, with no governance series at all.

Economy

Tuvalu's gross domestic product stood at $62.28 million in 2023, per the World Bank's World Development Indicators (WDI). GDP per capita was $6,344.78 the same year, also per World Bank WDI. Population was recorded at 9,646 in 2024, per World Bank WDI. Government debt stood at 3.2% of GDP, per the IMF's World Economic Outlook (WEO), carried for 2026.

Security and capability

The Correlates of War (COW) National Material Capabilities dataset records zero active military personnel for Tuvalu in 2022, and assigns it a Composite Index of National Capability (CINC) score of 2.1488398e-07 for the same year — a figure reflecting a state with no standing armed force among the capabilities COW tracks.

Energy

Primary energy consumption is recorded at 0.0 exajoules for 2023, per Our World in Data's energy series.

Data gaps

No governance indicators (V-Dem or otherwise) are present in this bundle. No SIPRI military-expenditure data, no reserves figure, and no electricity or fuel-production data are available for Tuvalu. The zero reading for primary energy consumption should be read as an absence of recorded data rather than confirmed zero consumption.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; Correlates of War National Material Capabilities; Our World in Data (Energy).

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
15/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Capability and economy · click a metric to compare

CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.

Capability profile

Trajectory

GDP (USD)

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (0)

No alliance data loaded.

Neighbours (2)

Disputes (0)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

No militarized disputes recorded (COW MID).

Signals

Airports
1
Ports
1
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
1
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Displacement (UNHCR): 0 refugees originated · 0 IDPs ·

Compare Tuvalu with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.