America / ATG

Antigua and Barbuda

Antigua and Barbuda ranks #217 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.1/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 12.5/100 (#179 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Antigua and Barbuda

Antigua and Barbuda, in the America region per this bundle's classification, had a population of 93,772 in 2024, according to World Bank World Development Indicators (WDI). Gross domestic product was $2,207,622,874.07 in 2024, per World Bank WDI, with GDP per capita at $23,542.45 the same year, also per World Bank WDI. Government debt stood at 66.5 percent of GDP in 2026, per the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO). Foreign exchange reserves were $358,440,631.72 in 2024, per World Bank WDI.

On defense and capability, the Correlates of War National Material Capabilities (COW NMC) dataset records active military personnel at 0 for 2022, and puts the country's composite index of national capability (CINC) score at 0.0000029035166 for the same year. No SIPRI military expenditure figures are present in this bundle.

Energy figures from Our World in Data show primary energy consumption of 0.0108 exajoules in 2023 and electricity generation of 0.37 terawatt-hours in 2024. Oil production and gas production are both recorded at 0.0 terawatt-hours, dated 2016.

The 66.5 percent debt-to-GDP figure for 2026, from IMF WEO, carries a later year than the 2024 World Bank WDI economic and reserves figures it sits alongside. With zero active personnel recorded by COW NMC for 2022 and no SIPRI expenditure figure present, the only capability reading in this bundle is the CINC score itself, which COW NMC also dates to 2022. The population, GDP, GDP-per-capita, and reserves figures are all dated 2024, giving this bundle's economic series a single common reference year even though the debt figure and the capability figures each carry their own, separate years.

Data gaps

This bundle carries no governance indicators from V-Dem and no SIPRI military expenditure figures. The COW NMC personnel figure is recorded as zero for 2022, and the CINC score is not refreshed past the same year. The oil and gas production figures are dated 2016, older than the rest of the bundle's 2023-2024 figures.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; COW NMC; Our World in Data (Energy).

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
30/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Capability profile

Trajectory

GDP (USD)

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (33)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (2)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
2
Ports
1
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
4
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2022): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

100% of imports from Dominican Republic — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 97 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 0 hosted

Compare Antigua and Barbuda with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.