Europe / GRC

Greece

Greece ranks #35 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (3.0/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 14.5/100 (#163 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-10-22.

Analyst briefing

Greece: High Debt Load, Elevated Defense Spending, Stale Production Data

Greece's economy totaled $256.24 billion in 2024, per the World Bank's WDI figures, with GDP per capita of $24,626 and a population of 10.41 million the same year. Government debt is projected at 136.9 percent of GDP in 2026, per the IMF's World Economic Outlook — the highest debt ratio in this briefing series, more than double the size of the country's own annual economic output. Reserves stood at just $7.94 billion in 2025, per the IMF's International Financial Statistics, a small cushion set against that debt load and the smallest reserves figure among the European states in this series.

Military Capacity

Military spending reached $8.39 billion in 2025, equal to 2.989 percent of GDP, per SIPRI's 2025 figures — a high ratio among the European states in this series. SIPRI calculates that ratio against its own GDP series, not the World Bank's $256.24 billion figure cited above, and the two should not be combined. Active personnel totaled 132,000 in 2022, per the Correlates of War National Material Capabilities (COW NMC) dataset, which also puts Greece's composite index of national capability (CINC) at 0.0026 for that year — a personnel count larger than that of some countries in this series with considerably bigger economies.

Governance

V-Dem's 2025 figures (v15) score Greece's electoral democracy at 0.741 and liberal democracy at 0.568, with state capacity at 0.808 — solid but not top-tier scores among the European states reviewed in this series. The gap of roughly 0.17 between the electoral and liberal democracy scores points to a wider divergence between electoral mechanics and liberal constraints than is seen in some of the higher-scoring European states in this set.

Energy

Greece's primary energy consumption was 1.16 exajoules in 2024, and it generated 58.27 terawatt-hours of electricity in 2025, per Our World in Data. The oil and gas production figures available are stale: oil production of 2.018 TWh and gas production of 0.137 TWh are both dated 2016, nearly a decade old, and say nothing about current output. Both figures are also small relative to the country's 58.27 TWh of electricity generation, suggesting Greece draws on other sources for the bulk of its power even on this outdated production data. No more recent production figures were supplied.

Sources: World Bank WDI; IMF WEO; IMF IFS; SIPRI Milex; COW NMC; V-Dem v15; Our World in Data (Energy)

Written from the sourced figures on this page and checked against them before publication — any figure not present in the data blocks the briefing. Generated 2026-10-06.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
33/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
19/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (24)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (111)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
29
Ports
64
Satellites
21
Subsea cables
21
News items
8

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 9 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

28% of imports from France — supplier dependence

Arms clients (transfers)

Displacement (UNHCR): 94 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 134.6K hosted

Compare Greece with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.