HEAD TO HEAD
Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan
Verdict
Uzbekistan holds a 82–18 advantage over Tajikistan on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.
The margin is driven by military spending (85% of the combined total, $1.4bn) and economic size (GDP) (89% of the combined total, $115bn).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Tajikistan | Share | Uzbekistan | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $247m | 15%85% | $1.4bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $14.2bn | 11%89% | $115bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 9.0k | 16%84% | 48.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 7 | 37%63% | 12 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
