HEAD TO HEAD
Afghanistan vs Tajikistan
Verdict
Afghanistan holds a 62–38 advantage over Tajikistan on the Relative Advantage Index, a clear margin.
The margin is driven by active personnel (92% of the combined total, 100.0k) and military spending (53% of the combined total, $278m).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Afghanistan | Share | Tajikistan | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $278m | 53%47% | $247m | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $17.2bn | 55%45% | $14.2bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 100.0k | 92%8% | 9.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 9 | 56%44% | 7 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
