HEAD TO HEAD
Italy vs Ukraine
Verdict
Italy holds a 55–45 advantage over Ukraine on the Relative Advantage Index.
The margin is driven by economic size (GDP) (93% of the combined total, $2.4tn) and logistics & power projection (72% of the combined total, 152). Ukraine leads on active personnel and military spending.
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Italy | Share | Ukraine | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $48.1bn | 36%64% | $84.1bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $2.4tn | 93%7% | $191bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 161.0k | 19%81% | 688.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 152 | 72%28% | 58 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
