HEAD TO HEAD
Russia vs Ukraine
Verdict
Russia holds a 77–23 advantage over Ukraine on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.
The margin is driven by economic size (GDP) (92% of the combined total, $2.2tn) and military spending (69% of the combined total, $190bn).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Russia | Share | Ukraine | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $190bn | 69%31% | $84.1bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $2.2tn | 92%8% | $191bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 1.2m | 63%37% | 688.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 307 | 84%16% | 58 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
