HEAD TO HEAD
Poland vs Ukraine
Verdict
Ukraine holds a 55–45 advantage over Poland on the Relative Advantage Index.
The margin is driven by military spending (64% of the combined total, $84.1bn) and active personnel (86% of the combined total, 688.0k). Poland leads on economic size (GDP).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Poland | Share | Ukraine | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $46.8bn | 36%64% | $84.1bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $918bn | 83%17% | $191bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 114.0k | 14%86% | 688.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 37 | 39%61% | 58 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
