HEAD TO HEAD
Belarus vs Ukraine
Verdict
Ukraine holds a 87–13 advantage over Belarus on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.
The margin is driven by military spending (98% of the combined total, $84.1bn) and economic size (GDP) (72% of the combined total, $191bn).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Belarus | Share | Ukraine | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $1.9bn | 2%98% | $84.1bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $76.0bn | 28%72% | $191bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 48.0k | 7%93% | 688.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 10 | 15%85% | 58 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
