HEAD TO HEAD
Iran vs Ukraine
Verdict
Ukraine holds a 58–42 advantage over Iran on the Relative Advantage Index.
The margin is driven by military spending (92% of the combined total, $84.1bn) and active personnel (53% of the combined total, 688.0k). Iran leads on economic size (GDP) and logistics & power projection.
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Iran | Share | Ukraine | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $7.4bn | 8%92% | $84.1bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $475bn | 71%29% | $191bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 610.0k | 47%53% | 688.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 76 | 57%43% | 58 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
