HEAD TO HEAD

Iran vs Russia

Verdict

Russia holds a 83–17 advantage over Iran on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (96% of the combined total, $190bn) and economic size (GDP) (82% of the combined total, $2.2tn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorIranShareRussiaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$7.4bn
4%96%
$190bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$475bn
18%82%
$2.2tn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
610.0k
34%66%
1.2m20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
76
20%80%
30720%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.

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