HEAD TO HEAD
Ethiopia vs Sudan
Verdict
Ethiopia holds a 68–32 advantage over Sudan on the Relative Advantage Index, a clear margin.
The margin is driven by economic size (GDP) (75% of the combined total, $150bn) and military spending (59% of the combined total, $528m).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Ethiopia | Share | Sudan | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $528m | 59%41% | $369m | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $150bn | 75%25% | $49.7bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 503.0k | 83%17% | 104.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 16 | 57%43% | 12 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
