HEAD TO HEAD

Afghanistan vs Pakistan

Verdict

Pakistan holds a 92–8 advantage over Afghanistan on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (98% of the combined total, $11.9bn) and economic size (GDP) (96% of the combined total, $372bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorAfghanistanSharePakistanWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$278m
2%98%
$11.9bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$17.2bn
4%96%
$372bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
100.0k
13%87%
652.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
9
18%82%
4120%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.

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