HEAD TO HEAD
Israel vs Lebanon
Verdict
Israel holds a 88–12 advantage over Lebanon on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.
The margin is driven by military spending (98% of the combined total, $48.3bn) and economic size (GDP) (96% of the combined total, $540bn).
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Israel | Share | Lebanon | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $48.3bn | 98%2% | $828m | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $540bn | 96%4% | $20.1bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 170.0k | 74%26% | 60.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 14 | 74%26% | 5 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
