HEAD TO HEAD
Ethiopia vs Kenya
Verdict
Ethiopia and Kenya are close to evenly matched, 51–49 on the Relative Advantage Index.
Ethiopia leads on active personnel (95% of the combined total, 503.0k) and economic size (GDP) (55% of the combined total, $150bn), which Kenya offsets elsewhere.
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Ethiopia | Share | Kenya | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $528m | 26%74% | $1.5bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $150bn | 55%45% | $120bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 503.0k | 95%5% | 24.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 16 | 42%58% | 22 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
