HEAD TO HEAD
Estonia vs Latvia
Verdict
Estonia and Latvia are close to evenly matched, 51–49 on the Relative Advantage Index.
Estonia leads on logistics & power projection (60% of the combined total, 9), which Latvia offsets elsewhere.
1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | Estonia | Share | Latvia | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $1.6bn | 48%52% | $1.7bn | 33% |
Economic size (GDP) World Bank WDI | $43.1bn | 50%50% | $43.7bn | 27% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 7.0k | 50%50% | 7.0k | 20% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 9 | 60%40% | 6 | 20% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
