HEAD TO HEAD

China vs India

Verdict

China holds a 75–25 advantage over India on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (78% of the combined total, $336bn) and nuclear warheads (77% of the combined total, 600).

Factor by factor

FactorChinaShareIndiaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$336bn
78%22%
$92.1bn25%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$18.7tn
83%17%
$3.9tn20%
Active personnel
COW NMC
2.0m
58%42%
1.5m15%
Nuclear warheads
FAS Nuclear Notebook
600
77%23%
18025%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
402
73%27%
14615%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.

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