HEAD TO HEAD

Australia vs Papua New Guinea

Verdict

Australia holds a 95–5 advantage over Papua New Guinea on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (100% of the combined total, $35.3bn) and economic size (GDP) (98% of the combined total, $1.8tn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorAustraliaSharePapua New GuineaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$35.3bn
100%0%
$106m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$1.8tn
98%2%
$31.8bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
60.0k
94%6%
4.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
213
83%17%
4320%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.

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