HEAD TO HEAD
China vs Taiwan
Verdict
China holds a 94–6 advantage over Taiwan on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.
The margin is driven by military spending (95% of the combined total, $336bn) and logistics & power projection (93% of the combined total, 402).
2 factors — economic size (GDP), nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.
Factor by factor
| Factor | China | Share | Taiwan | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Military spending SIPRI Milex | $336bn | 95%5% | $18.2bn | 45% |
Active personnel COW NMC | 2.0m | 92%8% | 169.0k | 27% |
Logistics & power projection OurAirports | 402 | 93%7% | 28 | 27% |
Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-10-22.
